Track record

Every buy, sell, and watch call I've published — scored against XBI, the biotech index.

+204.6%Best call · ETON
+8.6%Avg buy call
80%Avoids beat XBI
137Active buy calls

As of Sep 18, 2026 · hypothetical editorial record, not investment advice

How to read this page
Buy
A buy call I published — Core = higher conviction.
Spec buy
A speculative buy — higher risk, smaller-size idea.
Avoid
A call to stay away — scored by the loss it sidestepped.
Entry
The first closing price after I published the call — if I posted after the 4pm ET close, that's the next session's close, since it's the first price you could actually have traded at.
Now
The latest available closing price.
Return
Percent change from Entry to Now (for avoids, the stock's move since the call).
vs XBI
XBI is the biotech index ETF. This is Return minus XBI's return over the same dates — the value added beyond just buying the index. For avoids, the loss saved vs holding XBI.
Open / Closed
Open = still live. Closed = realized; the return runs to the first close after I flipped the call. Where a buyout settled at a known cash price, I use that instead.

Top buy calls

CallBuyNowReturnvs XBI
ETON Eton Pharmaceuticals Buy $18.22 $55.50 +204.6% +181
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics Buy $33.47 $90.25 +169.6% +138.6
DFTX Definium Therapeutics Buy $15.02 $38.81 +158.4% +134.8
DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Spec buy $5.90 $15.24 +158.3% +134.3
CAPR Capricor Therapeutics Spec buy $4.17 $9.06 +117.3% +114.1
TTRX Turn Therapeutics Spec buy $6.42 $14.94 +132.7% +110
IBRX ImmunityBio Buy $3.95 $8.48 +114.7% +88.5
HELP Cybin Spec buy $6.61 $12.37 +87.1% +88.1
CMPS COMPASS Pathways Buy $7.85 $15.19 +93.5% +70.1
CRDL Cardiol Therapeutics Spec buy $1.02 $1.88 +83.8% +60

What I told you to avoid

CallSinceStockSaved vs XBI
RVPH Reviva Pharmaceuticals Avoid Jan 26, 2026 -92.1% +114.7
LGVN Longeveron Avoid May 11, 2026 -70.3% +86.6
APVO Aptevo Therapeutics Avoid Jun 16, 2026 -59.5% +75.3
NRSN NeuroSense Therapeutics Avoid Jul 13, 2026 -56.5% +57.4
VNDA Vanda Pharmaceuticals Avoid Feb 17, 2026 -17.3% +43
MRKR Marker Therapeutics Avoid Mar 16, 2026 -16.3% +42.8
OTLK Outlook Therapeutics Avoid Jul 27, 2026 -38.7% +42.8
ELTX Elicio Therapeutics Avoid Jul 6, 2026 -42.6% +40.1

Calls that paid off

Buy calls I closed in the green — including takeouts. Entry → exit, realized.

CallBoughtExitedReturnvs XBI
FBRX Forte Biosciences Acquired Apr 6, 2026 Jul 28, 2026 +189.9% +173.6
CRNX Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Acquired Apr 2, 2026 Jul 7, 2026 +124.4% +97.3
ATAI Atai Beckley Acquired Dec 24, 2025 Jul 17, 2026 +72.3% +50.2
APGE Apogee Therapeutics Acquired May 5, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 +59.5% +49.6
CNTA Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc Acquired Mar 16, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 +43.2% +24.4
QURE uniQure Spec buy Jun 18, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 +5.9% +1.4
ENTA Enanta Pharmaceuticals Buy Feb 17, 2026 Jul 6, 2026 +4.7% -24.5

Every call

Call Entry Now Return vs XBI Status Opened
ETON Eton Pharmaceuticals Buy $18.22 $55.50 +204.6% +181 Open Feb 19, 2026
FBRX Forte Biosciences Buy $26.44 $76.65 +189.9% +173.6 Closed Jul 28, 2026 Apr 6, 2026
SYRE Spyre Therapeutics Buy $33.47 $90.25 +169.6% +138.6 Open Dec 18, 2025
DFTX Definium Therapeutics Buy $15.02 $38.81 +158.4% +134.8 Open Jan 14, 2026
DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Spec buy $5.90 $15.24 +158.3% +134.3 Open Jan 7, 2026
RVPH Reviva Pharmaceuticals Avoid $6.04 $0.48 -92.1% +114.7 Open Jan 26, 2026
CAPR Capricor Therapeutics Spec buy $4.17 $9.06 +117.3% +114.1 Open Aug 4, 2026
TTRX Turn Therapeutics Spec buy $6.42 $14.94 +132.7% +110 Open Jun 2, 2026
CRNX Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Buy $37.23 $83.53 +124.4% +97.3 Closed Jul 7, 2026 Apr 2, 2026
GOSS Gossamer Bio Avoid $34.29 $14.00 -59.2% +88.9 Closed Aug 24, 2026 Mar 2, 2026
IBRX ImmunityBio Buy $3.95 $8.48 +114.7% +88.5 Open Jan 15, 2026
HELP Cybin Spec buy $6.61 $12.37 +87.1% +88.1 Open Jun 30, 2026
LGVN Longeveron Avoid $8.38 $2.49 -70.3% +86.6 Open May 11, 2026
APVO Aptevo Therapeutics Avoid $4.54 $1.84 -59.5% +75.3 Open Jun 16, 2026
CMPS COMPASS Pathways Buy $7.85 $15.19 +93.5% +70.1 Open Feb 23, 2026
ACTU Actuate Therapeutics Avoid $6.49 $2.89 -55.5% +62.2 Closed May 12, 2026 Jan 7, 2026
CRDL Cardiol Therapeutics Spec buy $1.02 $1.88 +83.8% +60 Open Mar 2, 2026
NRSN NeuroSense Therapeutics Avoid $14.60 $6.35 -56.5% +57.4 Open Jul 13, 2026
GHRS GH Research Buy $15.75 $28.26 +79.4% +54.3 Open Jan 20, 2026
ADAG Adagene Spec buy $1.84 $3.31 +79.9% +50.9 Open Jan 2, 2026
ATAI Atai Beckley Spec buy $4.19 $7.22 +72.3% +50.2 Closed Jul 17, 2026 Dec 24, 2025
APGE Apogee Therapeutics Buy $83.29 $132.88 +59.5% +49.6 Closed Jun 23, 2026 May 5, 2026
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics Buy $12.57 $21.08 +67.7% +48.6 Open Jan 22, 2026
ABSI Absci Buy $5.90 $9.65 +63.6% +47.2 Open May 8, 2026
CING Cingulate Avoid $5.84 $5.09 -12.8% +45.4 Closed Aug 14, 2026 Mar 30, 2026
PCSA Processa Pharmaceuticals Avoid $2.87 $2.04 -28.9% +43.6 Closed Jul 30, 2026 Apr 13, 2026
VNDA Vanda Pharmaceuticals Avoid $6.20 $5.13 -17.3% +43 Open Feb 17, 2026
MRKR Marker Therapeutics Avoid $1.41 $1.18 -16.3% +42.8 Open Mar 16, 2026
OTLK Outlook Therapeutics Avoid $1.06 $0.65 -38.7% +42.8 Open Jul 27, 2026
TVTX Travere Therapeutics Buy $40.29 $62.76 +55.8% +42 Open Apr 20, 2026
NRIX Nurix Therapeutics Buy $15.91 $25.44 +59.9% +41.2 Open Apr 13, 2026
ELTX Elicio Therapeutics Avoid $3.29 $1.89 -42.6% +40.1 Open Jul 6, 2026
CLYM Climb Bio Buy $8.78 $14.05 +60% +38.4 Open Apr 29, 2026
PHIO Phio Pharmaceuticals Avoid $1.32 $1.03 -22% +36.8 Open Apr 15, 2026
IRD Opus Genetics Spec buy $3.71 $5.18 +39.6% +36.4 Open Aug 4, 2026
ORKA Oruka Therapeutics Buy $63.18 $94.96 +50.3% +34.9 Open May 13, 2026
ACTU Actuate Therapeutics Avoid $1.40 $0.98 -29.9% +33.8 Open Jul 20, 2026
REPL Replimune Group Buy $9.00 $13.07 +45.2% +27.8 Open Jun 1, 2026
OVID Ovid Therapeutics Spec buy $1.81 $2.69 +48.6% +26.7 Open Jan 27, 2026
EVMN Evommune Avoid $13.29 $9.65 -27.4% +26.4 Open Jun 30, 2026
VOR Vor Biopharma Spec buy $14.63 $21.40 +46.3% +26.4 Open May 15, 2026
CNTA Centessa Pharmaceuticals plc Buy $28.29 $40.50 +43.2% +24.4 Closed Jun 23, 2026 Mar 16, 2026
SPRB Spruce Biosciences Buy $41.60 $53.05 +27.5% +22.9 Open Jul 28, 2026
PMVP PMV Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $1.29 $1.50 +16.3% +20.4 Open Sep 1, 2026
IMVT Immunovant Buy $26.08 $36.95 +41.7% +18.6 Open Feb 2, 2026
KAPA Kairos Pharma Avoid $2.17 $1.73 -20.3% +18.2 Open Aug 18, 2026
MDNAF Medicenna Therapeutics Avoid $0.40 $0.32 -20% +17.6 Closed May 20, 2026 May 14, 2026
QNRX Quoin Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $6.22 $7.06 +13.5% +17.1 Open Aug 31, 2026
CUE Cue Biopharma Spec buy $26.91 $37.05 +37.7% +17 Open Jun 3, 2026
IXHL Incannex Healthcare Avoid $3.31 $3.64 +10% +16.5 Open Mar 16, 2026
CGON CG Oncology Buy $53.81 $74.62 +38.7% +16.3 Open Jan 23, 2026
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics Buy $87.35 $117.75 +34.8% +15.9 Open Apr 9, 2026
EXEL Exelixis Spec buy $41.36 $58.36 +41.1% +15.5 Open Jan 30, 2026
HELP Cybin Avoid $5.52 $4.32 -21.7% +15.2 Closed Mar 30, 2026 Mar 9, 2026
ARDX Ardelyx Avoid $4.00 $3.42 -14.5% +14.1 Open Aug 7, 2026
ZYME Zymeworks Buy $23.54 $26.57 +12.9% +13.3 Open Aug 7, 2026
XNCR Xencor Spec buy $21.49 $24.72 +15% +11.6 Open Jul 30, 2026
CYDY CytoDyn Avoid $0.37 $0.32 -13.5% +11.1 Closed Apr 27, 2026 Apr 21, 2026
VSTM Verastem Spec buy $6.74 $7.44 +10.4% +10.8 Open Aug 7, 2026
UNCY Unicycive Therapeutics Avoid $5.13 $4.80 -6.4% +10.6 Open Jul 27, 2026
PYPD PolyPid Spec buy $4.78 $5.21 +9% +9.1 Open Aug 13, 2026
CBIO Crescent Biopharma Buy $15.11 $16.89 +11.8% +8.7 Open Jul 16, 2026
KURA Kura Oncology Buy $9.22 $11.73 +27.2% +7.3 Open May 15, 2026
SGMT Sagimet Biosciences Spec buy $8.75 $11.09 +26.7% +7.3 Open Apr 28, 2026
ZBIO Zenas BioPharma Spec buy $29.51 $31.50 +6.7% +7.2 Open Aug 14, 2026
SLDB Solid Biosciences Spec buy $8.39 $8.91 +6.2% +6.6 Open Aug 7, 2026
CHRS Coherus Oncology Spec buy $1.26 $1.35 +6.7% +5.3 Open Aug 6, 2026
XERS Xeris Biopharma Spec buy $7.93 $8.20 +3.4% +3.8 Open Aug 7, 2026
NGNE Neurogene Spec buy $31.45 $32.09 +2% +3 Open Jun 30, 2026
CRVO CervoMed Avoid $2.44 $2.86 +17.2% +2 Closed Aug 10, 2026 Jun 11, 2026
ACRS Aclaris Therapeutics Buy $4.47 $5.50 +23% +1.5 Open Apr 29, 2026
GRCE Grace Therapeutics Avoid $2.16 $2.10 -2.8% +1.4 Closed Apr 28, 2026 Apr 27, 2026
QURE uniQure Spec buy $46.29 $49.04 +5.9% +1.4 Closed Jun 23, 2026 Jun 18, 2026
KPRX Kiora Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $2.32 $2.76 +19% +1.2 Open Apr 27, 2026
IMMX Immix Biopharma Buy $10.66 $12.50 +17.3% +1.1 Open May 12, 2026
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Spec buy $25.18 $24.95 -0.9% +0.8 Open Sep 9, 2026
CYDY CytoDyn Avoid $0.22 $0.21 -4.5% +0.5 Open Sep 1, 2026
PEPG PepGen Spec buy $2.85 $2.85 0% +0.4 Open Aug 7, 2026
PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics Buy $147.75 $143.00 -3.2% +0.3 Open Aug 31, 2026
BMEA Biomea Fusion Spec buy $1.53 $1.83 +19.6% +0.1 Open Apr 28, 2026
IMCR Immunocore Spec buy $32.00 $32.00 0% 0 Open Sep 18, 2026
RNAC Cartesian Therapeutics Buy $6.93 $8.03 +15.9% -0.7 Open May 27, 2026
ARTV Artiva Biotherapeutics Spec buy $7.27 $8.61 +18.4% -0.9 Open Jun 9, 2026
ONCY Oncolytics Biotech Avoid $0.77 $0.77 0% -1 Open Sep 17, 2026
GRCE Grace Therapeutics Spec buy $2.12 $2.11 -0.5% -1.9 Open Aug 6, 2026
CLDX Celldex Therapeutics Buy $33.86 $38.24 +12.9% -2.8 Open Apr 16, 2026
BLTE Belite Bio Spec buy $178.94 $170.96 -4.5% -2.8 Open Aug 12, 2026
ARVN Arvinas Spec buy $8.40 $8.29 -1.3% -3.7 Open Aug 5, 2026
AUTL Autolus Therapeutics Spec buy $1.95 $1.94 -0.5% -3.7 Open Aug 4, 2026
JANX Janux Therapeutics Buy $14.11 $16.59 +17.6% -4 Open Apr 29, 2026
ADCT ADC Therapeutics Avoid $1.01 $1.05 +4% -4.4 Open Aug 14, 2026
AKTS Aktis Oncology Buy $19.73 $21.88 +10.9% -5.3 Open May 12, 2026
PRQR ProQR Therapeutics Spec buy $1.94 $1.83 -5.7% -5.6 Open Sep 10, 2026
INBX Inhibrx Biosciences Spec buy $122.26 $109.35 -10.6% -5.9 Open Sep 3, 2026
PMN ProMIS Neurosciences Spec buy $14.06 $14.01 -0.4% -6.3 Open Jul 29, 2026
BCTX BriaCell Therapeutics Avoid $3.31 $4.21 +27.2% -6.5 Open Jun 3, 2026
FBIO Fortress Biotech Spec buy $2.27 $2.51 +10.6% -7.2 Open Apr 27, 2026
SABS SAB Biotherapeutics Spec buy $3.67 $3.51 -4.2% -7.3 Open Jul 16, 2026
PCSA Processa Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $2.04 $1.96 -3.9% -7.4 Open Jul 30, 2026
TENX Tenax Therapeutics Avoid $1.62 $1.80 +11.1% -7.7 Closed Sep 1, 2026 Aug 11, 2026
NRXP NRX Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $3.03 $3.32 +9.6% -8.2 Open Apr 27, 2026
AMLX Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $38.60 $32.41 -16% -8.5 Open Aug 19, 2026
VIR Vir Biotechnology Buy $8.99 $10.60 +17.9% -8.6 Open Mar 25, 2026
ALLO Allogene Therapeutics Spec buy $1.79 $1.69 -5.6% -8.7 Open Jul 16, 2026
AGMB Agomab Therapeutics Spec buy $12.68 $12.17 -4% -8.7 Open Jun 24, 2026
ENTA Enanta Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $13.50 $12.20 -9.6% -8.8 Open Aug 12, 2026
SNDX Syndax Pharmaceuticals Buy $20.56 $17.62 -14.3% -10 Open Sep 4, 2026
OMER Omeros Buy $15.71 $17.87 +13.7% -11.6 Open Dec 26, 2025
VERA Vera Therapeutics Buy $31.27 $34.00 +8.7% -12 Open Jun 3, 2026
LEGN Legend Biotech Spec buy $20.65 $17.61 -14.7% -13 Open Aug 12, 2026
ZNTL Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $3.83 $3.11 -18.7% -13.3 Open Aug 21, 2026
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Buy $15.94 $17.85 +12% -13.6 Open Feb 20, 2026
ADMA Adma Biologics Avoid $9.16 $10.06 +9.8% -13.7 Closed Aug 6, 2026 Jul 6, 2026
CRVS Corvus Pharmaceuticals Buy $11.50 $12.56 +9.2% -14.4 Open May 19, 2026
LGVN Longeveron Spec buy $8.88 $8.38 -5.6% -14.4 Closed May 11, 2026 Mar 16, 2026
SRPT Sarepta Therapeutics Spec buy $17.79 $20.11 +13% -14.5 Open Feb 13, 2026
NVCT Nuvectis Pharma Spec buy $24.48 $22.00 -10.1% -14.8 Open Jun 24, 2026
RCUS Arcus Biosciences Spec buy $24.69 $25.24 +2.2% -15.2 Open Jun 4, 2026
BCTX BriaCell Therapeutics Spec buy $4.47 $3.76 -15.9% -15.6 Closed Feb 23, 2026 Feb 2, 2026
NBP NovaBridge Biosciences Spec buy $1.95 $1.60 -17.9% -17 Open Jun 30, 2026
LENZ LENZ Therapeutics Spec buy $5.04 $4.07 -19.2% -17.6 Open Aug 12, 2026
SION Sionna Therapeutics Avoid $5.10 $5.96 +16.9% -17.7 Open Aug 11, 2026
MPLT MapLight Therapeutics Spec buy $12.92 $10.92 -15.5% -17.9 Open Aug 5, 2026
HELP Cybin Spec buy $6.73 $5.52 -18% -18.1 Closed Mar 9, 2026 Feb 23, 2026
VRCA Verrica Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $5.69 $4.45 -21.8% -18.3 Open Aug 28, 2026
ALLO Allogene Therapeutics Spec buy $2.25 $2.07 -8% -18.5 Closed Jun 23, 2026 Apr 27, 2026
OCS Oculis Holding Spec buy $11.99 $10.14 -15.4% -18.6 Open Aug 4, 2026
GERN Geron Spec buy $1.57 $1.30 -17.2% -18.6 Open Aug 6, 2026
DYN Dyne Therapeutics Buy $16.58 $17.11 +3.2% -21.9 Open Jan 20, 2026
SANA Sana Biotechnology Spec buy $3.26 $3.10 -4.9% -22.7 Open Apr 27, 2026
MDNAF Medicenna Therapeutics Spec buy $0.32 $0.30 -5.3% -22.9 Open May 26, 2026
CCCC C4 Therapeutics Buy $3.68 $3.39 -7.9% -23.2 Open May 13, 2026
ARTV Artiva Biotherapeutics Spec buy $10.60 $7.84 -26% -23.7 Closed May 20, 2026 May 11, 2026
ENTA Enanta Pharmaceuticals Buy $13.86 $14.51 +4.7% -24.5 Closed Jul 6, 2026 Feb 17, 2026
ERAS Erasca Spec buy $11.56 $9.11 -21.2% -24.6 Closed Apr 29, 2026 Feb 11, 2026
RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals Buy $3.48 $3.37 -3.2% -24.7 Open Apr 29, 2026
CATX Perspective Therapeutics Buy $2.73 $2.88 +5.5% -24.9 Open Jan 5, 2026
CGTX Cognition Therapeutics Spec buy $1.08 $1.04 -3.7% -27 Open Mar 9, 2026
JBIO Jade Biosciences Spec buy $17.75 $16.94 -4.6% -27.2 Open Jun 2, 2026
ATHE Alterity Therapeutics Buy $4.15 $3.91 -5.8% -27.4 Open Jun 10, 2026
NTLA Intellia Therapeutics Spec buy $13.20 $12.14 -8% -27.5 Open Apr 28, 2026
BBOT BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics Spec buy $6.75 $4.77 -29.4% -27.7 Open Sep 9, 2026
COGT Cogent Biosciences Buy $37.00 $31.50 -14.9% -28.6 Open Apr 20, 2026
TNGX Tango Therapeutics Buy $24.87 $21.75 -12.5% -28.8 Open May 14, 2026
RYTM Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Buy $102.59 $97.71 -4.8% -29.8 Open Jan 20, 2026
ACRV Acrivon Therapeutics Buy $1.93 $1.85 -4.1% -30.8 Open Jan 8, 2026
ABOS Acumen Pharmaceuticals Spec buy $2.71 $2.65 -2.2% -31.1 Open Mar 23, 2026
CBIO Crescent Biopharma Buy $18.52 $15.67 -15.4% -31.3 Closed Jul 15, 2026 May 11, 2026
MAIA MAIA Biotechnology Spec buy $1.31 $1.31 0% -31.9 Open Mar 30, 2026
ARVN Arvinas Spec buy $10.78 $8.14 -24.5% -34.6 Closed Jun 23, 2026 May 4, 2026
ANAB AnaptysBio Spec buy $66.59 $55.20 -17.1% -34.9 Open Apr 27, 2026
IPSC Century Therapeutics Spec buy $2.21 $1.86 -15.8% -35.1 Open Jun 9, 2026
ELTX Elicio Therapeutics Avoid $2.76 $3.85 +39.5% -35.6 Closed Jun 18, 2026 Jun 16, 2026
GLSI Greenwich LifeSciences Spec buy $22.25 $18.99 -14.7% -36.6 Open Jun 5, 2026
AKBA Akebia Therapeutics Spec buy $1.16 $0.92 -21% -37.4 Open May 8, 2026
VTVT vTv Therapeutics Spec buy $36.41 $31.80 -12.7% -37.7 Open Feb 4, 2026
KYTX Kyverna Therapeutics Buy $8.99 $7.13 -20.7% -38.5 Open Apr 27, 2026
GPCR Structure Therapeutics Buy $43.56 $35.00 -19.7% -39.1 Open Apr 28, 2026
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies Buy $6.46 $5.02 -22.3% -40.1 Open Apr 27, 2026
CLNN Clene Buy $5.18 $4.35 -16% -42.5 Open Jan 12, 2026
RARE Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Buy $24.93 $14.51 -41.8% -44.2 Open Aug 5, 2026
VKTX Viking Therapeutics Buy $36.41 $28.99 -20.4% -45.9 Open Dec 23, 2025
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics Buy $17.50 $12.13 -30.7% -46.2 Open Apr 14, 2026
IMTX Immatics Buy $10.45 $8.62 -17.5% -46.5 Open Jan 2, 2026
GRCE Grace Therapeutics Spec buy $3.83 $2.16 -43.6% -47.7 Closed Apr 27, 2026 Jan 26, 2026
XENE Xenon Pharmaceuticals Buy $57.40 $39.75 -30.7% -48.1 Open May 4, 2026
CRBU Caribou Biosciences Spec buy $1.94 $1.30 -33% -49.3 Open May 8, 2026
CNTB Connect Biopharma Spec buy $2.54 $1.24 -51.2% -49.5 Closed Sep 16, 2026 Aug 13, 2026
DBVT DBV Technologies Buy $20.27 $14.70 -27.5% -50 Closed Jul 17, 2026 Dec 22, 2025
ALT Altimmune Buy $4.09 $3.25 -20.5% -51 Open Jan 5, 2026
LRMR Larimar Therapeutics Buy $5.23 $3.79 -27.5% -51.4 Open Mar 2, 2026
CYDY CytoDyn Spec buy $0.32 $0.22 -31.2% -54.1 Closed Sep 1, 2026 Apr 27, 2026
VRDN Viridian Therapeutics Buy $29.17 $22.00 -24.6% -54.4 Open Feb 5, 2026
KTTA Pasithea Therapeutics Buy $0.77 $0.52 -31.9% -54.7 Open May 18, 2026
OCGN Ocugen Spec buy $1.65 $1.06 -35.8% -54.9 Open Jan 22, 2026
CABA Cabaletta Bio Buy $4.15 $2.55 -38.6% -55.7 Open May 5, 2026
IMRX Immuneering Spec buy $6.66 $4.48 -32.7% -59.7 Open Dec 29, 2025
INAB IN8bio Spec buy $1.56 $0.98 -37.2% -60.4 Closed Aug 7, 2026 Jun 2, 2026
NGEN NervGen Pharma Spec buy $3.85 $2.05 -46.8% -64.6 Open Apr 27, 2026
CTMX CytomX Therapeutics Spec buy $4.46 $2.76 -38.1% -66.9 Open Mar 23, 2026
GANX Gain Therapeutics Buy $3.19 $1.76 -44.8% -69.3 Open Dec 22, 2025
BIOA BioAge Labs Buy $15.34 $8.06 -47.5% -70.2 Open May 18, 2026
STRO Sutro Biopharma Buy $33.59 $15.34 -54.3% -72.1 Open Apr 27, 2026
LXEO Lexeo Therapeutics Spec buy $8.12 $4.20 -48.3% -74.7 Open Jan 12, 2026
TARA Protara Therapeutics Spec buy $7.43 $3.55 -52.2% -75.7 Open Feb 23, 2026
MIST Milestone Pharmaceuticals Buy $2.20 $0.92 -58.4% -87.4 Open Dec 16, 2025
EYPT EyePoint Buy $13.34 $3.85 -71.1% -91.3 Open May 1, 2026
ERAS Erasca Avoid $9.11 $19.50 +114.1% -93.5 Closed Jul 14, 2026 Apr 29, 2026
WVE Wave Life Sciences Buy $13.44 $4.35 -67.6% -94.5 Open Mar 3, 2026
GUTS Fractyl Health Spec buy $2.09 $0.60 -71.3% -95.2 Open Jan 7, 2026
QURE uniQure Avoid $17.99 $46.29 +157.3% -146.6 Closed Jun 18, 2026 Mar 9, 2026
REPL Replimune Group Avoid $1.70 $9.00 +429.4% -428.3 Closed Jun 1, 2026 Apr 13, 2026

On my watch list

  • Nasdaq delisting letter arrived on schedule with no cure period; the pre-data financing requirement, ratchet, and drifting blinded CR rate are unchanged, so the Watch stance is maintained pending a Panel decision and a financing above $0.75.

    Latest note · Sep 19, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 26, 2026
  • RA Capital's $200M add and Paradigm's new 5.8% stake confirm specialist money read the 57% CR as a dosing problem not a drug failure, strengthening the ownership leg of the thesis, but efficacy at 70 mg remains the only thing that can convert the rating.

    Latest note · Sep 17, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 11, 2026
  • Cash flows and 2035 patent floor are real, but the terminal value question — whether ORLADEYO's oral franchise survives a superior oral competitor — has a dated answer arriving in 2027, and there is no compensation for owning the uncertainty ahead of it.

  • FDA's Breakthrough Therapy Designation for daraxonrasib + GnP in 1L PDAC improves the regulatory path but supplies no new efficacy data, leaving launch execution and net pricing as the unresolved questions until the November commercial print.

    Latest note · Sep 15, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 27, 2026
  • Darovasertib's randomized PFS win is real but the valuation is carried by IDE849 and MTAP assets that face near-term, unproven tests in Western populations; no need to own it before Q4 2026 IDE849 readout.

  • A data-triggered quiet period signals the REZOLVE-AA 24-week off-treatment durability read is imminent, creating an asymmetric binary where a soft result does real damage to the AA thesis while a clean result only directionally de-risks it.

    Latest note · Sep 11, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 6, 2026
  • A genuinely cheap and profitable business, but the entire franchise's remaining patent life hinges on a single pending court ruling due October 22, 2026, and at $41 the stock has priced that binary as already resolved favorably.

  • Dosing first EXACT patients retires execution risk but the S-1 converts the warrant overhang into registered sellable stock, and the efficacy case remains n=3 on a surrogate no regulator has validated.

    Latest note · Sep 11, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 18, 2026
  • Science and balance sheet are solid but the flagship TRYNGOLZA posted only $4.6M in Q2 at its new $40K price, leaving the >$3B peak-sales claim entirely unproven; wait for the Q3 print to confirm revenue inflection before opening a position.

  • The biology is real and the price is cheap, but the differentiating epithelial-regeneration mechanism has no significant human evidence, disclosure is selectively framed, and the true de-risking event is the full 120-patient RENEW Week-24 FVC dataset in 2028, not the Q4 2026 interim.

  • NKTX Nkarta Watch

    ACR Convergence November 8 oral slots confirmed with management signaling early efficacy, but below-cash cushion has closed at $3.23 and no lupus nephritis abstract; position is now a straight data bet.

    Latest note · Sep 9, 2026 ↗ · watching since May 26, 2026
  • The AQP1 mechanism is elegant and human-validated, but three of four 'pivotal' programs rest on failed, per-protocol, or compassionate-use datasets, and the fourth is 24 open-label patients on a questionnaire with no validated threshold; revisit on the AQUAx2 readout in Q2 2027, a sub-$9 print, or Hologen paying the $95M.

  • No named development candidate, no human data on either lead program, and the lead indication already has an approved competitor; revisit after a named candidate and Phase 1 tolerability data emerge.

  • PCVX Vaxcyte Watch

    Topline guidance narrowed to end-October and Pfizer's former vaccines CMO hired to lead the totality-of-evidence argument, but the binary is unchanged: OPUS-1 must still clear 0.667 on 28 serotypes with pre-announced misses, the lot-to-lot study is undated, and ACIP remains under stay.

    Latest note · Sep 3, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jul 27, 2026
  • Islet IND filing converts the most under-modeled asset into a company-owned registrational program, but the undisclosed Phase 3 NI margin, going-concern conclusion, and impending dilutive raise keep the stance at Watch.

    Latest note · Sep 3, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 14, 2026
  • Pharmacodynamics are genuinely interesting but every efficacy number comes from six unblinded patients on an active backbone with one ineligible patient providing the only complete response; a control arm is needed before taking a position.

  • Last patient visit complete and topline now guided to September 2026 with a webcast; the enrollment red flag is effectively defused, but the binary is unchanged and the free-look window has narrowed to roughly four weeks with the stock up further.

    Latest note · Sep 2, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 7, 2026
  • Safety profile and CVR structure have merit, but the drug never separated from placebo in the full randomized population, the RA pivot carries the highest placebo response rate in immunology, and the 68% counterparty (Scipher) cannot be properly evaluated until the S-4 discloses audited financials and 2026 Note conversion terms.

  • Strong randomized PFS data and unmet need are offset by a pre-specified crossover-adjusted OS analysis that came back worse than unadjusted (HR 1.13), unpublished duration of response, and an unresolved FDA meeting outcome; the author will revisit after the Labor Day FDA feedback and ESMO October 24 data.

  • INSM Insmed Watch

    Japan MHLW approval of BRINSUPRI is a clean de-risking of the one guided regulatory catalyst in the window, but the TPIP data gap, persistence question, and valuation are unchanged, so the watch stance is maintained.

    Latest note · Aug 24, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 13, 2026
  • First PBGENE-DMD patient dosed on schedule retires execution risk but not biology or safety risk; the HBV cure thesis still awaits NUC-withdrawal data.

    Latest note · Aug 24, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jul 17, 2026
  • ACI-19764 cleared first-in-human with confirmed CSF penetration, dose-dependent IL-1β inhibition, and a 4x lower-than-predicted therapeutic dose, upgrading the second shot on goal, but VacSYn week-100 remains the decisive catalyst and no owned asset has efficacy data.

    Latest note · Aug 20, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 1, 2026
  • Strong biology and productive platform, but Lineage owns only ~half the economics of a lead asset it does not control on a timeline it cannot influence; revisit only on Roche's public disclosure of intent to advance OpRegen into a controlled multicenter Phase 2/3.

  • The $150M ATM bridges the structural dilution gap and de-links launch spending from the approval-triggered warrant clock, but the Sopharma arbitration and NCE exclusivity question remain unresolved, keeping the stock uninvestable.

    Latest note · Aug 15, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 12, 2026
  • Cash down to $125.9M with going-concern language still present and burn accelerating as a third Phase 3 (ALTO) launches; a capital raise is the most predictable unannounced event on the calendar, and DAYBREAK in September gates everything — BLA, platform thesis, and financing terms.

    Latest note · Aug 14, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jan 29, 2026
  • GNLX Genelux Watch

    Q2 burn accelerated to $9.6M against $18.7M total cash with the Phase 3 topline still guided to 2H 2026, tightening the runway squeeze but leaving the scientific thesis and watch-list stance unchanged.

    Latest note · Aug 14, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jul 15, 2026
  • Science unchanged but funding quality weakened — burn not moderating at ~$70M/quarter, ATM issuance tripling, and IP pledged as collateral on Hercules debt; thesis still resolves at Q2 2027 4FRONT-1 readout.

    Latest note · Aug 14, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jul 3, 2026
  • Resolution of the Seven and Eight licensor dispute removes a key tail risk, but accelerating burn (77% YoY) widens the dilution gap and no efficacy data has changed; the randomized melanoma interim remains the sole re-rating trigger.

    Latest note · Aug 14, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 5, 2026
  • WATCH maintained with downgraded urgency as 39.6M warrants at $2.65 are now exercisable creating a structural ceiling, NDA slipped to mid-2027, and another financing raise is likely before the key catalyst.

    Latest note · Aug 14, 2026 ↗ · watching since May 7, 2026
  • Adage Capital's 9.99% filing narrows the sponsorship gap in the bear case, but with ~half the position in deep-OTM warrants and no human ADPKD efficacy, the stance remains Watch with piqued interest.

    Latest note · Aug 13, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 24, 2026
  • ANNX Annexon Watch

    ARCHER II adds Month 24 dual primary endpoint meaning Q4 2026 delivers only a DMC verdict with full data potentially in Q1 2027; catalyst diffusion and $117.8M ATM overhead keep the stock on watch despite improved GBS outlook and runway extended into 2028.

    Latest note · Aug 13, 2026 ↗ · watching since Feb 27, 2026
  • Naming PMR as the third indication — where both IL-17 and B-cell arms have randomized clinical support — narrows the bear case modestly, but the BAFF contribution in HS remains unproven and Q4 2026 remains a binary with the stock more than tripled off its lows.

    Latest note · Aug 12, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 30, 2026
  • REGAL still at 78/80 events after three months of silence; readout timing now indefinite; stock at $11 with doubled downside risk vs. May; fortress balance sheet intact but premium for the binary has a time cost; watch for existing holders to consider trimming.

    Latest note · Aug 12, 2026 ↗ · watching since Dec 29, 2025
  • IZAR-1 Phase 3 win de-risks the PsA franchise but the de-risking event remains the Section 14 label content at BLA acceptance in late November 2026; the blinded placebo arm keeps the PsA delta unpriceable.

    Latest note · Aug 12, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 11, 2026
  • IMUX Immunic Watch

    Watch list maintained as runway is now explicitly bridged to late 2027 and the commercial/regulatory team is complete, but fenebrutinib, generic Aubagio, the 5% royalty stack, and dilution overhang are unchanged, and the stock at $15.48 has compressed the pre-data asymmetry considerably.

    Latest note · Aug 12, 2026 ↗ · watching since May 28, 2026
  • FDA acceptance with April 2027 PDUFA date is procedurally de-risking but EV expanded to ~$2.5B on a standard review timeline, stretching valuation further while commercial risk is time-amplified by nine more months of incumbent entrenchment.

    Latest note · Aug 12, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 22, 2026
  • Balance sheet, trial, and M&A logic remain intact and PTAB institution improves the patent overhang picture, but efficacy case is still single-arm open-label and leadership bench will be substantially new by the time the interim prints.

    Latest note · Aug 12, 2026 ↗ · watching since May 30, 2026
  • The mechanism is de-risked and the chemistry is elite, but at ~$4.35B market cap the risk/reward has already been harvested on 57- and 20-patient open-label cohorts with managed denominators; revisit on the YE2026 vascular anomaly regulatory update or a ReDiscover-2 enrollment-completion announcement.

  • Both Alzheimer's catalysts pushed to Q4 2026, VY1706 first human safety data slipped to early 2027, ATM tapped into weakness at ~$3.61, and cash down to $148.8M; proxy waiting game extended.

    Latest note · Aug 7, 2026 ↗ · watching since Mar 17, 2026
  • Second IDMC pass at 80% exposure meaningfully reduces the safety tail and extends runway to Q1 2029, but the central PVR→6MWD scientific bet remains unresolved and the relaxin graveyard still demands humility ahead of the APEX binary.

    Latest note · Aug 7, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 9, 2026
  • Phase 3 initiation slipped from mid-2026 to upon IND clearance due to CMC manufacturing delays, funding language softened, and no efficacy readout is expected in the next twelve months; Watch List maintained with clock reset as the next event is an IND filing, not data.

    Latest note · Aug 7, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 23, 2026
  • Q2 brought competent execution and improved catalyst clarity (US BLA now on calendar for Q1 2027) but neither named de-risker has landed — the going-concern flag remains and the MHRA MAA submission is still ahead — so the watch stance is maintained.

    Latest note · Aug 7, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jul 21, 2026
  • Encouraging early safety and biomarker data from C-1300-02 are positive but uncontrolled; the binary randomized readout has slipped to early 2027, adding two quarters of dilution risk with no change in the fundamental concerns that kept this off a Buy.

    Latest note · Aug 7, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 13, 2026
  • Watch List maintained as the CBP degrader IND timeline was withdrawn due to a CRO operational failure, weakening the wholly-owned pipeline leg, while FHD-909 remains a Lilly-controlled black box with no human efficacy data or readout date.

    Latest note · Aug 7, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jul 8, 2026
  • Cash fell to $45.1M, new FDRR language signals FDA dialogue is not converging, pipeline initiations are unfunded and overdue, but AbbVie option remains alive and burn discipline extends the optionality runway.

    Latest note · Aug 7, 2026 ↗ · watching since Dec 17, 2025
  • Prodrug engineering is real and balance sheet funds the binary, but PDE4 failed its one controlled UC trial, Phase 2 doses are below the regimen that generated the clinical signal, and there is no issued U.S. patent under a ~$457M market cap.

  • Q2 update confirms balance sheet intact and EU approval advancing, but no U.S. NDA date disclosed and the single binary DSMB recommendation in Q1 2027 remains the only thing that matters for the U.S. thesis.

    Latest note · Aug 6, 2026 ↗ · watching since Aug 4, 2026
  • Q2 beat and second guidance raise validate the commercial thesis, but at $46.17 — above the prior 52-week high — the easy entry has closed and the year-end SubQ Phase 3 topline remains the event worth sizing around.

    Latest note · Aug 4, 2026 ↗ · watching since Jun 3, 2026
  • FSHR biology is real but no objective response in four years, survival benchmark is misstated, and capital structure risks are material; wait for RECIST-confirmed responses from therapeutic-dose cohorts 5–7.

  • Despite a de-risked mechanism and strong balance sheet post-financing, the 21-patient efficacy signal, untested Phase 3 dose, primary endpoint outside FDA's qualified 24-month context of use, and 85% post-financing markup into a 26-month catalyst desert make this the wrong entry at the wrong price.

  • Near-cash EV with partnered Phase 3 royalty and Gilead option provides cushion, but the owned binary (COM701 monotherapy maintenance) rests on a post-hoc subgroup and thin single-agent data in a distrusted checkpoint class, warranting a watch rather than an immediate buy.

The full record

Category# callsBeat XBIAvg returnAvg vs XBI
Open buy calls 137 36% +8.6% -6.2
Core 62 37% +13% -6.7
Speculative 75 35% +4.9% -5.7
Open avoid calls 20 80% +31.5
Closed buy calls 20 30% +8.7% -3.5
Closed avoids 15 60% -29.2
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Hypothetical editorial track record, not a managed portfolio — past performance does not guarantee future results. Not investment advice.